Fast genome-based delimitation of Enterobacterales species
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Average Nucleotide Identity (ANI) is becoming a standard measure for bacterial species delimitation. However, its calculation can take orders of magnitude longer than similarity estimates based on sampling of short nucleotides, compiled into so-called sketches. These estimates are widely used. However, their variable correlation with ANI has suggested that they might not be as accurate. For a where-the-rubber-meets-the-road assessment, we compared two sketching programs, mash and dashing, against ANI, in delimiting species among Esterobacterales genomes. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis found Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of 0.99, almost perfect species discrimination for all three measures. Subsampling to avoid over-represented species reduced these AUC values to 0.92, still highly accurate. Focused tests with ten genera, each represented by more than three species, also showed almost identical results for all methods. Shigella showed the lowest AUC values (0.68), followed by Citrobacter (0.80). All other genera, Dickeya, Enterobacter, Escherichia, Klebsiella, Pectobacterium, Proteus, Providencia and Yersinia, produced AUC values above 0.90. The species delimitation thresholds varied, with species distance ranges in a few genera overlapping the genus ranges of other genera. Mash was able to separate the E. coli + Shigella complex into 25 apparent phylogroups, four of them corresponding, roughly, to the four Shigella species represented in the data. Our results suggest that fast estimates of genome similarity are as good as ANI for species delimitation. Therefore, these estimates might suffice for covering the role of genomic similarity in bacterial taxonomy, and should increase confidence in their use for efficient bacterial identification and clustering, from epidemiological to genome-based detection of potential contaminants in farming and industry settings.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it