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Record W4386912256 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-3340271/v1

Ocean cavity regime shift reversed West Antarctic grounding line retreat in the late Holocene

2023· preprint· en· W4386912256 on OpenAlexaff
Daniel P. Lowry, Holly Kyeore Han, Nicholas R. Golledge, Natalya Gomez, Katelyn Johnson, Robert M. McKay

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2023
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
FundersNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNational Science Foundation
KeywordsHoloceneDeglaciationGeologyIce sheetClimatologyAntarctic ice sheetOceanographyRadiative forcingClimate changeAbrupt climate changeGlobal warmingSea iceCryosphereEffects of global warming

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Holocene climate variations were relatively modest compared to the preceding deglaciation and anthropogenic climate change. Yet recent geologic evidence suggests that the grounding line of the Siple Coast of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) retreated hundreds of kilometers beyond its present position during the middle to late Holocene (7.5 to 2.0 ka) and readvanced within the past 2.0 ka. The extent to which these substantial ice sheet changes were driven by climatic or non-climatic processes is debated. The inferred retreat and readvance have been attributed to both changing rates of isostatic rebound and regional climate change. We test these two hypotheses using a proxy-informed ensemble of ice sheet model simulations with varying ocean thermal forcing, global glacioisostatic adjustment (GIA) model simulations, and coupled ice sheet-GIA simulations that consider the interactions between these two processes. Our results indicate that a regime shift from a warm to cold ocean cavity due to increased polynya efficiency in the Late Holocene is the most likely cause of this past grounding line migration. This implies that the Siple Coast grounding line is sensitive to future changes in the Ross Sea polynya and sub-ice shelf ocean circulation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.025
Threshold uncertainty score0.049

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.113
GPT teacher head0.365
Teacher spread0.252 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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