Association of Prospective Falls in Older People With Ubiquitous Step-Based Fall Risk Parameters Calculated From Ambulatory Inertial Signals: Secondary Data Analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: In recent years, researchers have been advocating for the integration of ambulatory gait monitoring as a complementary approach to traditional fall risk assessments. However, current research relies on dedicated inertial sensors that are fixed on a specific body part. This limitation impacts the acceptance and adoption of such devices. Objective: Our study objective is twofold: (1) to propose a set of step-based fall risk parameters that can be obtained independently of the sensor placement by using a ubiquitous step detection method and (2) to evaluate their association with prospective falls. Methods: A reanalysis was conducted on the 1-week ambulatory inertial data from the StandingTall study, which was originally described by Delbaere et al. The data were from 301 community-dwelling older people and contained fall occurrences over a 12-month follow-up period. Using the ubiquitous and robust step detection method Smartstep, which is agnostic to sensor placement, a range of step-based fall risk parameters can be calculated based on walking bouts of 200 steps. These parameters are known to describe different dimensions of gait (ie, variability, complexity, intensity, and quantity). First, the correlation between parameters was studied. Then, the number of parameters was reduced through stepwise backward elimination. Finally, the association of parameters with prospective falls was assessed through a negative binomial regression model using the area under the curve metric. Results: The built model had an area under the curve of 0.69, which is comparable to models exclusively built on fixed sensor placement. A higher fall risk was noted with higher gait variability (coefficient of variance of stride time), intensity (cadence), and quantity (number of steps) and lower gait complexity (sample entropy and fractal exponent). Conclusions: These findings highlight the potential of our method for comprehensive and accurate fall risk assessments, independent of sensor placement. This approach has promising implications for ambulatory gait monitoring and fall risk monitoring using consumer-grade devices.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".