On Explaining Agent Behaviour via Root Cause Analysis: A Formal Account Grounded in Theory of Mind
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Inspired by a novel action-theoretic formalization of actual cause, Khan and Lespérance (2021) recently proposed a first account of causal knowledge that supports epistemic effects, models causal knowledge dynamics, and allows sensing actions to be causes of observed effects. To date, no other study has looked specifically at these issues. But their formalization is not sufficiently expressive to model explanations via causal analysis of mental states as it ignores a crucial aspect of theory of mind, namely motivations. In this paper, we build on their work to support causal reasoning about conative effects. In our framework, one can reason about causes of motivational states, and we allow motivation-altering actions to be causes of observed effects. We illustrate that this formalization along with a model of goal recognition can be utilized to explain agent behaviour in communicative multiagent contexts.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".