Microinsurance and Economic Growth in Africa
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The reach and scope of microinsurance have expanded considerably over the last couple of decades. The literature on microinsurance focuses predominantly on its microeconomic impact. In contrast, I examine the contemporaneous and intertemporal effect of microinsurance on economic development using rich census data of microinsurance coverage in African economies. Estimates suggest that microinsurance affects economic growth both on impact and over time, with the magnitude of the intertemporal effect exceeding that of the contemporaneous effect. Evidence also suggests nonlinearities in the microinsurance–growth nexus. The marginal effect of microinsurance is a negative function of the starting level of development. For low-income countries, microinsurance has a robust positive effect on economic growth, both in terms of impact and over time. However, microinsurance may fail to leave a lasting trace on the aggregate economy in “richer” developing countries.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it