MRI-based Deep Learning Assessment of Amyloid, Tau, and Neurodegeneration Biomarker Status across the Alzheimer Disease Spectrum
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background PET can be used for amyloid-tau-neurodegeneration (ATN) classification in Alzheimer disease, but incurs considerable cost and exposure to ionizing radiation. MRI currently has limited use in characterizing ATN status. Deep learning techniques can detect complex patterns in MRI data and have potential for noninvasive characterization of ATN status. Purpose To use deep learning to predict PET-determined ATN biomarker status using MRI and readily available diagnostic data. Materials and Methods MRI and PET data were retrospectively collected from the Alzheimer’s Disease Imaging Initiative. PET scans were paired with MRI scans acquired within 30 days, from August 2005 to September 2020. Pairs were randomly split into subsets as follows: 70% for training, 10% for validation, and 20% for final testing. A bimodal Gaussian mixture model was used to threshold PET scans into positive and negative labels. MRI data were fed into a convolutional neural network to generate imaging features. These features were combined in a logistic regression model with patient demographics, APOE gene status, cognitive scores, hippocampal volumes, and clinical diagnoses to classify each ATN biomarker component as positive or negative. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis was used for model evaluation. Feature importance was derived from model coefficients and gradients. Results There were 2099 amyloid (mean patient age, 75 years ± 10 [SD]; 1110 male), 557 tau (mean patient age, 75 years ± 7; 280 male), and 2768 FDG PET (mean patient age, 75 years ± 7; 1645 male) and MRI pairs. Model AUCs for the test set were as follows: amyloid, 0.79 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.83); tau, 0.73 (95% CI: 0.58, 0.86); and neurodegeneration, 0.86 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.89). Within the networks, high gradients were present in key temporal, parietal, frontal, and occipital cortical regions. Model coefficients for cognitive scores, hippocampal volumes, and APOE status were highest. Conclusion A deep learning algorithm predicted each component of PET-determined ATN status with acceptable to excellent efficacy using MRI and other available diagnostic data. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".