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Record W4387637070 · doi:10.1787/b8d995ec-en

Sensitivity analysis

2022· book-chapter· en· W4387637070 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueGetting skills right · 2022
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicUrban Transport and Accessibility
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSample (material)GeographyPopulationRural areaThe InternetDemographic economicsRural populationDemographySocioeconomicsPsychologySociologyPolitical scienceComputer scienceEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In Canada, as elsewhere, the shares for urban areas are larger in the OECD 2020/2021 Survey of Career Guidance for Adults (SCGA) than in the actual population. The percentage of the sample living in urban areas was 87% in Canada, whereas only 82% of the actual Canadian population lives in urban areas. This is likely because people in rural areas tend to participate less in online surveys than those in urban areas, possibly due to lack of access to the internet or digital technologies. shows results from a simple sensitivity analysis where the use of career guidance within urban and rural areas is held fixed, while the share of adults in each group is adjusted to match the population. A weighted average is computed, multiplying the share of adults in each group by their use of career guidance, then summing up across the two groups. The results of the sensitivity analysis show that, all other things being equal, if the regional composition in the sample matched the actual regional composition in the population, the share of adults who used career guidance in the last five years would be 20.0%, negligibly lower than in the sample (20.3%). It suggests that over-representation in urban areas does not have a large impact on the accuracy of the overall findings.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.088
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.328
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.903
Threshold uncertainty score0.464

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0880.328
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.021
Bibliometrics0.0030.005
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.003
Open science0.0040.003
Research integrity0.0040.007
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0970.006

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.263
Teacher spread0.253 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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