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Record W4387685202 · doi:10.38126/jspg230108

Climate Crisis Induced Migration: A Global Framework to Minimize and Manage Large-Scale Climate Refugees and Migrants

2023· article· en· W4387685202 on OpenAlexaff
Bipin Kumar Badri Narayanan, Megan L. Shipman, Liam D. P. Foyle, Kaitlin Kharas, Bryn Livingston, Nancy T. Li, Maria Medeleanu, Luna Taguchi

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Science Policy & Governance · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicClimate Change, Adaptation, Migration
Canadian institutionsUniversity of TorontoUniversity of New Brunswick
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRefugeeClimate changeDisplaced personPolitical scienceImmigrationClimate justiceForced migrationPolitical economy of climate changeInternally displaced personConventionDevelopment economicsUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate ChangeEnvironmental resource managementEconomic growthEconomicsKyoto ProtocolEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The ongoing climate crisis will force the migration of up to 1.2 billion people by 2050. Since climate displacement has already begun, having policies in place to mitigate predictable issues that will arise from mass migration and safeguard vulnerable populations is essential. We recommend assigning a special “climate refugee/migrant” status to ensure human rights protections for these refugees/migrants. We also propose preventative measures to help reduce climate-related immigration and essential measures to facilitate refugees adapting to new regions. Finally, we recommend strategies to implement a “Loss and Damage” fund for the developing countries most vulnerable to climate-related disasters. These policies address a critical gap in climate migration policy and could inform the upcoming Conference of the Parties (COP 28) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in Dubai in November 2023

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.642
Threshold uncertainty score0.910

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.051
GPT teacher head0.376
Teacher spread0.325 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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