Bayesian estimation of non-linear centroid moment tensors using multiple seismic data sets
Bibliographic record
Abstract
SUMMARY Centroid moment tensor (CMT) parameters of earthquakes are routinely estimated to gain information on structures and regional tectonics. However, for small earthquakes (M < 4), it is still challenging to determine CMTs due to the lack of high-quality waveform data. In this study, we propose to improve solutions for small earthquakes by incorporating multiple seismic data types in Bayesian joint inversion: polarities picked on broad-band signals, amplitude spectra for intermediate frequency bands (0.2–2.0 Hz), and waveforms at low frequencies (0.05–0.2 Hz). Both measurement and theory errors are accounted for by iterative estimation of non-Toeplitz covariance matrices, providing objective weightings for the different data types in the joint parameter estimation. Validity and applicability of the method are demonstrated using simulated and field data. Results demonstrate that combinations of data, such as a single high-quality waveform, a few amplitude spectra and many waveform polarities, are able to resolve CMT parameters to comparable quality as if many high-quality waveforms were available. Results of 10 induced seismic events that occurred in northeastern British Columbia, Canada, between January 2020 and February 2022 indicate predominantly strike-slip focal mechanisms with low non-double-couple components. These events appear to be located at shallow depths with short time duration, as expected for induced seismicity. These results are consistent with previous studies, indicating that this method reduces the dependence of source inversion on high-quality waveforms, and can provide resolution of CMT parameters for earthquakes as small as ML 1.6.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".