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Harmful Algal Blooms Prediction Model: Dealing With Limited Datasets

2023· article· en· W4387735350 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrological Forecasting Using AI
Canadian institutionsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTransfer of learningComputer scienceBuoyProcess (computing)Artificial intelligenceMachine learningData modelingAlgal bloomArtificial neural networkWater qualityDeep learningData miningEcologyEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

HABs pose serious threats to natural aquatic systems, such as mass mortality of aquatic organisms, degradation of water quality, and human poisoning from consuming aquatic organisms exposed to HABs. Monitoring water quality and weather data through buoy data loggers is very useful nowadays. Through these buoys, environmental data can be accessed in real time. Various technical constraints on these buoys will directly and indirectly result in missing values (limited data sets). It often happens that one has a good idea of a learning model, but due to its complexity and smaller number of data sets, the model performs far below expectations. Transfer learning approaches and data synthesis with the CT GAN algorithm have been applied to deal with modelling on limited datasets. The transfer learning model gives better results. It can be seen from the value of model evaluation parameters (AUC and MSE) that the transfer learning model provides better results than other models (model-based CTGAN and deep learning model without transfer learning). The process of adapting (fine-tuning) knowledge is an important process in improving the performance of the model in the transfer learning procedure.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.212 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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