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S844 Early Symptomatic Improvement With Guselkumab Induction Treatment in Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis: Results From the Phase 3 QUASAR Induction Study

2023· article· en· W4387751121 on OpenAlexaff
Gary R. Lichtenstein, Axel Dignaß, David T. Rubin, Shadi Yarandi, Kuan‐Hsiang Gary Huang, Matthew Germinaro, Miao Ye, Hongyan Zhang, Jarosław Kierkuś, Ursula Seidler, Atsuo Maemoto, Jessica R. Allegretti, Brian Bressler, Laurent Peyrin‐Biroulet

Bibliographic record

VenueThe American Journal of Gastroenterology · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAutoimmune Bullous Skin Diseases
Canadian institutionsSt. Paul's Hospital
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineUlcerative colitisInternal medicineGastroenterologyPlaceboPopulationRandomizationClinical endpointRandomized controlled trialSurgeryColonoscopyColorectal cancerDiseaseCancer

Abstract

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Introduction: The Phase 3 QUASAR Induction Study (NCT04033445) was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, multicenter study of guselkumab (GUS), an interleukin-23 p19 subunit antagonist, in patients (pts) with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC). Here the early onset of symptom improvement was evaluated. Methods: Pts were randomized in a 3:2 ratio to receive IV GUS 200mg or placebo (PBO) at Weeks (Wks) 0, 4, and 8. The primary analysis population included treated pts with a baseline modified Mayo score of 5 to 9, and an endoscopy subscore ≥ 2 (centrally read). Through Wk12, pts recorded stool production and episodes of rectal bleeding in a diary. Symptomatic remission at Wks 2, 4, and 12 were major secondary endpoints. All other analyses were not multiplicity controlled (nominal P-values). Results: The primary analysis population included 701 randomized and treated pts (mean UC duration, 7.5yrs, Mayo endoscopy subscore=3 [severe disease], 67.9%, and mean modified Mayo score, 6.9, at baseline). At baseline, 49.1% had prior inadequate response/intolerance to advanced therapies (ADT-IR) for UC; nearly half of these (47.4%) had ≥2 ADT-IR classes. At baseline, for the GUS and PBO groups, respectively, mean absolute number of stools per day were 7.10 and 6.96; stool frequency subscores of 0 or 1 were observed in 10.0% and 9.6%; and mean rectal bleeding subscores were 1.7 and 1.8. As early as Wk1 and increasing through Wk12, greater symptomatic improvement was seen in pts treated with GUS compared with PBO (Figure 1). At Wks 2, 4, 8, and 12, symptomatic remission was achieved by GUS- vs PBO-treated pts in 12.1% vs 9.3%, 22.6% vs 12.9%, 39.7% vs 20.7%, and 49.9% vs 20.7% (all P< 0.001, except Wk2, P=0.210), respectively. For GUS vs PBO, percentages of pts with stool frequency subscore of 0 or 1 at Wks 2, 4, 8, and 12 were 26.1% vs 18.2%, 41.3% vs 25.4%, 53.4% vs 29.6%, and 60.1% vs 31.8% (all P< 0.001, except Wk2, P< 0.05), respectively; percentages of pts with rectal bleeding subscores of 0 at Wks 2, 4, 8, and 12 were 24.2% vs 19.3%, 36.8% vs 22.9%, 55.8% vs 33.2%, and 64.6% vs 28.6% (all P< 0.001, except Wk2, P=0.110), respectively. Treatment differences for GUS vs PBO were evident across Wk12 symptomatic outcomes (Table 1). Conclusion: GUS 200mg IV induction was effective in improving symptoms as early as 1 week after the first dose in pts with moderately to severely active UC. Symptomatic improvements increased through Wk12.Figure 1.: Symptomatic response through Wk12. Table 1. - Symptomatic outcomes at Wk12 Placebo IV Guselkumab 200 mg IV Treatment Difference d (95% CI) Primary analysis population, N 280 421 - Symptomatic response,ab proportion of patients (95% CI) 35.0% (29.4%, 40.6%) 71.7% (67.4%, 76.0%) 37.0% (30.1%, 43.9%)*** Symptomatic remission,ac proportion of patients (95% CI) 20.7% (16.0%, 25.5%) 49.9% (45.1%, 54.7%) 29.4% (22.8%, 36.0%), P< 0.001 Stool frequency subscore of 0 or 1 a proportion of patients (95% CI) 31.8% (26.3%, 37.2%) 60.1% (55.4%, 64.8%) 28.5% (21.5%, 35.6%)*** Rectal bleeding subscore of 0 a proportion of patients (95% CI) 28.6% (23.3%, 33.9%) 64.6% (60.0%, 69.2%) 36.2% (29.3%, 43.2%)*** Absolute number of stools per day,a N=274 N=420 mean change from baseline (95% CI) -1.4 (-1.7, -1.0) -3.2 (-3.5, -2.8) -1.8 (-2.20, -1.37)*** Rectal bleeding subscore,a N=274 N=420 mean change from baseline (95% CI) -0.6 (-0.7, -0.5) -1.2 (-1.3, -1.1) -0.7 (-0.8, -0.5)*** ***Nominal P< 0.001.aPatients who had a prohibited change in UC medication, an ostomy or colectomy, or discontinued study agent due to lack of efficacy or an adverse event of worsening of UC, or due to other reasons except for COVID-19 related reasons (excluding COVID-19 infection) or regional crisis in Russia and Ukraine prior to Week 12 were considered not to have achieved the endpoint for binary endpoints and had baseline observation carried forward for continuous endpoints. Patients who were missing 1 or more components pertaining to a specified endpoint were considered not to have achieved the endpoint for binary endpoints. The P-values for binary endpoints were based on the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (CMH) chi-square test. The P-values for continuous endpoints were based on a Mixed-Effect Model Repeated Measures.bSymptomatic response was defined a decrease from induction baseline in the symptomatic Mayo score (sum of the stool frequency and the rectal bleeding subscores) by ≥ 30% and ≥ 1 point, with either a ≥ 1 point decrease from baseline in the rectal bleeding subscore or a rectal bleeding subscore of 0 or 1.cSymptomatic remission was defined as a stool frequency subscore of 0 or 1 and not increased from induction baseline, and a rectal bleeding subscore of 0.dTreatment differences in proportions were adjusted for strata (ADT-IR status and concomitant use of corticosteroids at baseline) based on Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel weight.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.833
Threshold uncertainty score0.550

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.023
GPT teacher head0.302
Teacher spread0.279 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Published2023
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