Graph Sparsification for GCN Towards Optimal Crop Yield Predictions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In agronomics, predicting crop yield at a per field / county granularity is important for farmers to minimize uncertainty and plan seeding for the next crop cycle. While state-of-the-art prediction techniques employ graph convolutional nets (GCN) to predict future crop yields given relevant features and crop yields of previous years, a dense underlying graph kernel requires long training and execution time. In this paper, we propose a graph sparsification method based on the Fiedler number to remove edges from a complete graph kernel, in order to lower the complexity of GCN training / execution. Specifically, we first show that greedily removing an edge at a time that induces the minimal change in the second eigenvalue leads to a sparse graph with good GCN performance. We then propose a fast method to choose an edge for removal per iteration based on an eigenvalue perturbation theorem. Experiments show that our Fiedler-based method produces a sparse graph with good GCN performance compared to other graph sparsification schemes in crop yield prediction.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".