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Record W4388293253 · doi:10.1214/22-aihp1344

Limit distributions of branching Markov chains

2023· article· fr· W4388293253 on OpenAlexafffund
Vadim A. Kaimanovich, Wolfgang Woess

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnales de l Institut Henri Poincaré Probabilités et Statistiques · 2023
Typearticle
Languagefr
FieldMathematics
TopicStochastic processes and statistical mechanics
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
FundersUniversity of WarwickAustrian Science FundUniversity of Ottawa
KeywordsMathematicsHumanitiesMarkov chainCombinatoricsMartingale (probability theory)StatisticsPhilosophy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Nous étudions les chaînes de Markov branchantes sur un espace d’états (espace de types) dénombrable X en mettant l’accent sur les aspects qualitatifs du comportement limite de l’évolution des distributions empiriques de la population. Aucune condition n’est imposée sur les distributions multitypes des descendants des points de X autre que d’avoir la même moyenne et de satisfaire à une condition de moment de type LlogL. Nous montrons que la martingale de population résultante est uniformément intégrable. Ensuite, nous établissons le lien entre la convergence des moyennes empiriques de la chaîne branchante et les espaces stationnaires de la chaîne de Markov ordinaire associée sur X (supposée irréductible et transiente). Notre résultat principal est la convergence presque sûre des distributions empiriques vers une mesure de probabilité aléatoire sur le bord d’une compactification appropriée de X. Les considérations finales portent sur l’interaction générale entre les bords mesurables de la chaîne branchante et de la chaîne ordinaire associée.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.013
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.013
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.003
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.062
GPT teacher head0.362
Teacher spread0.300 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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