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Record W4388439450 · doi:10.7202/1106245ar

Xynthia : histoire d’une catastrophe prévisible

2023· article· fr· W4388439450 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Rémi Moreau

Bibliographic record

VenueAssurances et gestion des risques · 2023
Typearticle
Languagefr
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFlood Risk Assessment and Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsHumanitiesPolitical scienceArt

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Xynthia est le nom d’une dépression météorologique majeure qui a frappé l’Europe de l’Ouest entre le 26 février et le 1er mars 2010, et plus particulièrement la France et son littoral, dans la nuit du 28 février, provoquant 53 décès, et causant des dommages assurables évalués à 1,4 milliard de dollars. Elle est considérée comme une des plus violentes depuis les tempêtes Lothar et Martin de décembre 1999. L’auteur décrit sommairement cette catastrophe et ses effets, en insistant particulièrement sur les enseignements qu’on peut en tirer, notamment en ce qui concerne les digues maritimes dont plusieurs n’ont pu protéger adéquatement plusieurs communes en bord de mer et provoquant des inondations tuant des dizaines de personnes dans leur sommeil. Il aborde également l’une des mesures prises par le gouvernement français en décrétant des « zones noires », qui présentent des risques mortels, et qui obligeront les propriétaires à abandonner leur maison. Ils seront alors pleinement indemnisés à concurrence de la valeur réelle établie avant la tempête, incluant la valeur du terrain.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.574
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.007

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.026
GPT teacher head0.275
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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