Accounting for Nulliparity in the Prediction of Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy Using Cardiotocography <sup>*</sup>
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Nulliparous pregnancies, those where the mother has not previously given birth, are associated with longer labors and hence expose the fetus to more contractions and other adverse intrapartum conditions such as chorioamnionitis. The objective of the present study was to test if accounting for nulliparity could improve the detection of fetuses at increased risk of developing hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). During labor, clinicians assess the fetal heart rate and uterine pressure signals to identify fetuses at risk of developing HIE. In this study, we performed random forest classification using fetal heart rate and uterine pressure features from 40,831 births, including 374 that developed HIE. We analyzed a two-path classification approach that analyzed separately the fetuses from nulliparous and multiparous mothers, and a one-path classification approach that included the clinical variable for nulliparity as a classification feature. We compared these two approaches to a one-path classifier that had no information about the parity of the mothers. We also compared our results to the rate of Caesarean deliveries in each group, which is used clinically to interrupt the progression towards HIE. All the classifiers detected more fetuses that developed HIE than the observed Caesarean rate, but accounting for nulliparity did not improve performance.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".