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Record W4388688324 · doi:10.1139/cjce-2023-0312

Implementing survival analysis to capture stochastic characteristics of saturation flow rate considering the impacts of adverse road-weather conditions

2023· article· en· W4388688324 on OpenAlexafffundvenueabout
Ryutaro Hirose, Babak Mehran, Agnivesh Pani, Reza Omrani, Prasanta K. Sahu

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Civil Engineering · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicTraffic control and management
Canadian institutionsCIMA+ (Canada)University of Manitoba
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsHeadwayAdverse weatherQueueEnvironmental scienceSaturation (graph theory)StatisticsIntersection (aeronautics)MeteorologyComputer scienceMathematicsEngineeringSimulationTransport engineeringGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Saturation flow rate (SFR) variations were analyzed using the video data collected at a signalized intersection in Winnipeg, Canada, to investigate the implications of adverse road-weather (RW) conditions for SFR distributions and characteristics. Survival analysis was implemented to develop stochastic SFR distribution functions considering censored data and a statistical analysis method was developed for determining the optimal critical vehicle (CV) for measurement of saturation headway. The analysis findings suggest that adverse RW conditions decrease SFR significantly and moves CV to the front of the queue while having little impact on SFR considering heavy vehicles. Furthermore, the findings imply that the conventional SFR estimation method overestimates the probability of saturation at a given flow rate. The proposed analysis method reveals stochastic characteristics of SFR and provides a method to estimate SFR distributions under different RW conditions, which is essential for improving the operation of signalized intersections, particularly in cold regions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.053
Threshold uncertainty score0.106

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.198
Teacher spread0.190 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes4
Has abstractyes

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