A New Tangent-Generated Probabilistic Approach with Symmetrical and Asymmetrical Natures: Monte Carlo Simulation with Reliability Applications
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
It is proven evidently that probability distributions have a significant role in data modeling for decision-making. Due to the indispensable role of probability distributions for data modeling in applied fields, a series of probability distributions have been introduced and implemented. However, most newly developed probability distributions involve between one and eight additional parameters. Sometimes the additional parameters lead to re-parametrization problems. Therefore, the development of new probability distributions without additional parameters is an interesting research topic. In this paper, we study a new probabilistic method without incorporating any additional parameters. The proposed approach is based on a tangent function and may be called a new tangent-G (NT-G) family of distributions. Certain properties of the NT-G distributions are derived. Based on the NT-G method, a new flexible probability distribution called a new tangent flexible Weibull (NTF-Weibull) distribution is studied. The parameters of the NTF-Weibull distribution are estimated using seven different estimation methods. Based on these eight estimations, a brief simulation of the NTF-Weibull distribution is also provided. Finally, we prove the applicability of the NTF-Weibull distribution by analyzing two waiting-time data sets taken from the reliability sector. We consider three statistical tests with a p-value to evaluate the performance and goodness of fit of the NTF-Weibull distribution.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it