Cost-Effectiveness Of Once-Daily Single-Inhaler Triple Therapy In COPD: The IMPACT Trial
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Afisi S Ismaila,1,2 Nancy Risebrough,3 Melanie Schroeder,4 Dhvani Shah,5 Alan Martin,6 Emma C Goodall,7 Kerigo Ndirangu,5 Gerard Criner,8 Mark Dransfield,9 David MG Halpin,10 MeiLan K Han,11 David A Lomas12 1Value Evidence and Outcomes, GlaxoSmithKline plc, Collegeville, PA, USA; 2Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada; 3ICON Health Economics, ICON plc, Toronto, ON, Canada; 4Value Evidence and Outcomes, GlaxoSmithKline plc, Brentford, UK; 5ICON Health Economics, ICON plc, New York, NY, USA; 6Value Evidence and Outcomes, GlaxoSmithKline plc, Uxbridge, UK; 7Health Economics and Outcomes Research, GlaxoSmithKline plc, Mississauga, ON, Canada; 8Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, USA; 9Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Lung Health Center, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; 10Department of Respiratory Medicine, Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital, Exeter, UK; 11University of Michigan, Pulmonary and Critical Care, Ann Arbor, MI, USA; 12UCL Respiratory, University College London, London, UKCorrespondence: Afisi S IsmailaValue Evidence and Outcomes, GlaxoSmithKline plc, 1250 South Collegeville Road, Collegeville, PA 19426-0989, USATel +1 919 315 8229Email afisi.s.ismaila@gsk.comBackground: We assessed the cost-effectiveness of single-inhaler fluticasone furoate (FF)/umeclidinium (UMEC)/vilanterol (VI) versus FF/VI or UMEC/VI from a Canadian public healthcare perspective, incorporating data from the IMPACT trial in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (NCT02164513).Methods: Baseline inputs and treatment effects from IMPACT were populated into the validated GALAXY-COPD disease progression model. Canadian unit costs and drug costs (Canadian dollars [C$], 2017) were applied to healthcare resource utilization and treatments. Future costs and health outcomes were discounted at 1.5% annually. Analyses were probabilistic, and outputs included exacerbation rates, costs, and life years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained.Results: Compared with FF/VI and UMEC/VI over a lifetime horizon, the analyses predicted that treatment with FF/UMEC/VI resulted in fewer moderate and severe exacerbations, more LYs and more QALYs gained, with a small incremental cost. The base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per QALY gained was C$18,989 (95% confidence interval [CI]: C$14,665, C$25,753) versus FF/VI and C$13,776 (95% CI: C$9787, C$19,448) versus UMEC/VI. FF/UMEC/VI remained cost-effective versus both FF/VI and UMEC/VI in all sensitivity analyses, including in scenario analyses that considered different intervention and comparator discontinuation rates, and treatment effects for subsequent therapy.Conclusion: Treatment with FF/UMEC/VI was predicted to improve outcomes and be a cost-effective treatment option for patients with symptomatic COPD and a history of exacerbations compared with FF/VI or UMEC/VI, in Canada.Keywords: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cost-effectiveness, single-inhaler triple therapy, quality-adjusted life years, Canada
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".