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Record W4389139310 · doi:10.1504/ijpspm.2023.135035

Analysing political opinions using machine learning

2023· article· en· W4389139310 on OpenAlexaff
Pragya Joshi, Akash Singh Kunwar

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Public Sector Performance Management · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicSentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLeverage (statistics)Sentiment analysisNewspaperSocial mediaPoliticsComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceData scienceNatural language processingWorld Wide WebPolitical scienceSociologyMedia studies

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the era of digital world, text is not confined to textbooks or newspapers anymore. People use platforms like Twitter, Facebook, Quora, and other social media platforms to express their opinions over certain products, movies, social, economic or political causes. Huge chunks of textual data are available on these platforms for analysis. This paper tries to leverage deep learning and natural language processing (NLP) to use the publicly available text data to predict outcomes of Indian general elections by analysing the tweets with hashtags for various parties, using opinion mining to define polarity in the opinions. It tries to adopt a hybrid approach using NLP. The results from the analysis help in highlighting the potential of machine learning in predicting the election results and identifying the political inclination of people towards specific policies thus, indicating the efficiency of using social media to predict real-world outcomes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.903
Threshold uncertainty score0.474

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.069
GPT teacher head0.319
Teacher spread0.250 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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