MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort

Older Age Is Associated with a First Clinical Demyelinating Event in Children with the Radiologically Isolated Syndrome (2671)

2020· article· en· W4389450336 on OpenAlexaff
Naila Makhani, Christine Lebrun‐Frénay, Aksel Sıva, Evangeline Wassmer, Sona Narula, Soe Mar, Jonathan D. Santoro, Nusrat Ahsan, Sílvia Tenembaum, J. Nicholas Brenton, Philippe Cabre, Clarisse Carra‐Dallière, Jonathan Ciron, de Sèze, Kumaran Deiva, Françoise Durand Dubief, Matilde Inglese, Megan Langille, Guillaume Mathey, Rinze F. Neuteboom, Filipe Palavra, Jean Pelletier, Daniela Pohl, Daniel S. Reich, Juan Ignacio Rojas, Veronika Shabanova, Eugene D. Shapiro, Robert Thompson Stone, Éric Thouvenot, Mar Tintoré, Uğur Uygunoğlu, Wendy Vargas, Sunita Venkateswaran, Hélène Verhelst, Patrick Vermersch, Christina Azevedo, Orhun H. Kantarci, Darin T. Okuda, Daniel Pelletier

Bibliographic record

VenueNeurology · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicHealthcare cost, quality, practices
Canadian institutionsChildren's Hospital of Eastern Ontario
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineEvent (particle physics)PediatricsPhysical medicine and rehabilitation

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Objective: To determine whether age at index scan is associated with the subsequent development of a first clinical demyelinating event in children with the radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS). Background: The typical MRI findings of multiple sclerosis (MS) may be detected incidentally in individuals who underwent MRI scans for unrelated reasons. This clinical scenario has been termed RIS. We previously reported that 42% of children with RIS developed a first clinical demyelinating event in a median of 2 years. Little is known about risk factors associated with the development of a first clinical demyelinating event. Design/Methods: We analyzed a historical cohort of children (≤18 years) with RIS enrolled in an international longitudinal study. All children met 2010 MRI criteria for dissemination in space (DIS) on index scans (Ped-RIS). All scans also met 2017 DIS criteria on MRI. We created multivariable Cox proportional hazards models for time to a first clinical demyelinating event. Results: We included 89 children with Ped-RIS (median follow-up time 2.8 years; interquartile range 1.7–5.1 years). Median age at index scan was 15.4 years (range 8.1–17.9 years) and 68% of children were girls. Older age at index scan was associated with increased risk of a first clinical demyelinating event even after adjustment for sex, ≥2 unique oligoclonal bands in spinal fluid, asymptomatic spinal cord lesions on MRI, and treatment with a disease-modifying agent for MS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.4 per one year increase, 95% C.I. 1.04–1.40, p=0.04). Children ≥13 years (n=72, 81%) were at increased risk compared to those <13 years (adjusted HR 2.9, 95% C.I. 1.01–9.20, p=0.04). Conclusions: Older children with Ped-RIS, particularly those ≥13 years, are at increased risk for a first clinical demyelinating event. This information is important for parental counseling, consideration of more frequent monitoring, and identifying children at highest risk who may benefit from enrollment in an intervention trial. Disclosure: Dr. Makhani has nothing to disclose. Dr. Lebrun-Frenay has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Consulting fees, honoraria or scientific committee support: Bayer Schering, Biogen, Genzyme, Merck Serono, Novartis, Teva. Dr. Siva has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Merck, Novartis, Teva, Genzyme, Bayer, Roche, Biogen Idec/Gen Ilac-Turkey.Dr. Wassmer has nothing to disclose. Dr. Narula has nothing to disclose. Dr. Mar has nothing to disclose. Dr. Santoro has nothing to disclose. Dr. Ahsan has nothing to disclose. Dr. Tenembaum has nothing to disclose. Dr. Brenton has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Novartis.Dr. Cabre has nothing to disclose. Dr. Carra-Dalliere has nothing to disclose. Dr. Ciron has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Merck%2C%20Roche%2C%20Biogen%2C%20Novartis%2C%20Teva. Dr. De Seze has nothing to disclose. Dr. Deiva has nothing to disclose. Dr. Durand Dubief has nothing to disclose. Dr. Inglese has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Novartis Pharmaceuticals, National Multiple Sclerosis Society, Noto Foundation, NIH, and Teva Neuroscience.Dr. Langille has nothing to disclose. Dr. Mathey has nothing to disclose. Dr. Neuteboom has nothing to disclose. Dr. Palavra has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Biogen, Sanofi-Genzyme, Merck, Novartis and Teva Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Palavra has received research support from Biogen. Dr. Pelletier has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Jean Pelletier has received compensation for consulting services and speaking honoraria from Biogen, Roche, MedDay, Sanofi-Genzyme, Merck, Novartis and Teva Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Pelletier has received research support from Jean Pelletier received a research grant from Biogen, Roche and Merck. Dr. Pohl has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Consulting and speaker’s honoraria and support for attending conferences from Novartis Pharma AG, Forward Pharma, Biogen-Idec, Merck-Serono, Teva and Eisei. Dr. Reich has received research support from Vertex.Dr. Rojas has nothing to disclose. Dr. Shabanova has nothing to disclose. Dr. Shapiro has nothing to disclose. Dr. Thompson-Stone has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Homer and Conway, P.C. Dr. Thouvenot has nothing to disclose. Dr. Tinore has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Almirall, Biogen-Idec, Genzyme, Merck-Serono, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis, Viela Bio and Teva Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Tinore has received personal compensation in an editorial capacity for co-editor of Multiple Sclerosis Journal-ETC. Dr. Tinore has received research support from Biogen-Idec, Genzyme, Merck-Serono, Novartis. Dr. Uygunoglu has nothing to disclose. Dr. Vargas has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Biogen, Octapharma. Dr. Vargas has received research support from Teva Pharmaceuticals. Dr. Venkateswaran has nothing to disclose. Dr. Verhelst has nothing to disclose. Dr. Vermersch has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Almirall, Biogen, Celgene, Merck Serono, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi, Servier, and Teva. Dr. Vermersch has received research support from Almirall, Biogen, Celgene, Merck Serono, Novartis, Roche, Sanofi, Servier, and Teva.Dr. Azevedo has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Sanofi-Genzyme, Genentech, EMD Serono, and Alexion Pharmaceuticals.Dr. Kantarci has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Novartis and Biogen. Dr. Kantarci has received research support from Biogen, the Multiple Sclerosis Society, the Mayo Foundation, and the Hilton Foundation. Dr. Okuda has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Acorda Therapeutics, Genentech, Genzyme, Teva, consulted for Bayer, EMD Serono, Genzyme, Novartis, served on the speakers’ bureau for Acorda Therapeutics. Dr. Okuda has received research support from Biogen. Dr. Pelletier has received personal compensation for consulting, serving on a scientific advisory board, speaking, or other activities with Biogen, EMD Serono, Novartis, Roche, and Sanofi-Genzyme. Dr. Pelletier has received research support from Biogen, EMD Serono, Novartis, Roche, and Sanofi-Genzyme. Dr. (OFSEP) has nothing to disclose. Dr. (SFSEP) has nothing to disclose. Dr. (RISC) has nothing to disclose. Dr. Consortium (PARIS) has nothing to disclose.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.018

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.377
GPT teacher head0.489
Teacher spread0.112 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractno

Explore more

Same venueNeurologySame topicHealthcare cost, quality, practicesFrench-language works237,207