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Record W4389491106 · doi:10.1101/2023.12.06.23299621

Modelling the cost-effectiveness of TasP and PrEP in female sex workers in Cotonou, Benin

2023· preprint· en· W4389491106 on OpenAlexaff
Fiona Cianci, Lily Geidelberg, KM Mitchell, Léon Kessou, Aminata Mboup, Souleymane Diabaté, Luc Béhanzin, FA Guedou, DM Zannou, Nassirou Geraldo, Ella Goma‐Matsétsé, Katia Giguère, Marlène Aza‐Gnandji, Mamadou Diallo, René Kpèmahouton Kêkê, Moussa Bachabi, K. Dramane, Christian Lafrance, Dissou Affolabi, M.‐P. Gagnon, Flore Gangbo, Romain Silhol, Fern Terris‐Prestholt, Marie‐Claude Boily, Michel Alary, Peter Vickerman

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2023
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicHIV/AIDS Research and Interventions
Canadian institutionsCentre Hospitalier de l’Université de MontréalInstitut National de Santé Publique du QuébecUniversité Laval
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineEconomic costCost effectivenessHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV)PopulationMarginal costTotal costEnvironmental healthDemographyBusinessFamily medicineRisk analysis (engineering)Economics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Introduction Treatment as prevention (TasP) and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) could impact the HIV epidemic among Female Sex Workers (FSW) but their cost-effectiveness is uncertain in this group. This study aims to model the cost-effectiveness of TasP and PrEP among FSW in Cotonou, Benin. Methods A demonstration study assessed TasP and PrEP use among FSW in Cotonou. A dynamic HIV transmission model was developed to estimate the impact of this intervention and published elsewhere. Incremental economic costs of the study were collected prospectively capturing both provider and FSW costs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per HIV infection and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) averted were estimated over a 20 year time horizon with costs converted to USD 2020 and both costs and DALYs discounted at 4.5% per year. Different cost scenarios were modelled to investigate the cost-effectiveness of the intervention as delivered by the government reflecting current day implementation and resource costs. Results The mean provider annual economic cost per FSW on TasP was $646, with an initiation cost of $347 and mean annual user costs were $16. The mean initiation costs for PrEP were $268, mean annual provider costs were $359-$499 and annual user cost $15-$21 depending on adherence level. TasP was found to be cost saving for all cost scenarios examined compared to routine HIV care for FSW. PrEP was not cost-effective for any cost scenario, population coverage or adherence level examined. Conclusion Our results support TasP but not PrEP for FSW in our setting. A streamlined, outreach delivery model with reduced costs should be investigated to assess its cost-effectiveness in this setting.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.176
Threshold uncertainty score0.350

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.103
GPT teacher head0.379
Teacher spread0.276 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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