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Record W4389515205 · doi:10.1101/2023.12.08.23299660

COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness among South Asians in Ontario: A test-negative design population-based case-control study

2023· preprint· en· W4389515205 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Rahul Chanchlani, Baiju R. Shah, Shrikant I. Bangdiwala, Russell J. de Souza, Jin Luo, Shelly Bolotin, Dawn M. E. Bowdish, Dipika Desai, Scott A. Lear, Mark Loeb, Zubin Punthakee, Diana Sherifali, Gita Wahi, Sonia S. Anand

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2023
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser UniversityImpactUniversity of TorontoMcMaster Children's HospitalMcMaster UniversityPopulation Health Research InstituteSt. Joseph’s Healthcare HamiltonPublic Health OntarioMcMaster University Medical Centre
FundersSeqirusUniversity of TorontoNovo NordiskSanofiPublic Health AgencyPublic Health Agency of CanadaPfizer
KeywordsMedicineOddsOdds ratioCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)DemographyPopulationEthnic groupVaccinationLogistic regressionInternal medicineImmunologyEnvironmental healthDisease

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Objectives To: 1) evaluate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines among South Asians living in Ontario, Canada compared to non-South Asians, and 2) compare the odds of symptomatic COVID-19 infection and related hospitalizations and deaths among non-vaccinated South Asians and non-South Asians. Design Test negative design study Setting Ontario, Canada between Dec 14, 2020 and Nov 15, 2021 Participants All eligible individuals >18 years with symptoms of COVID-19 and subdivided by South Asian ethnicity versus other, and those who were vaccinated versus non-vaccinated. Main Outcome measures The primary outcome was vaccine effectiveness as defined by COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths, and secondary outcome was the odds of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and death comparing non-vaccinated South Asians to non-vaccinated non-South Asians. Results 883,155 individuals were included. Among South Asians, two doses of COVID-19 vaccine prevented 93.8% (95% CI 93.2, 94.4) of COVID-19 infections and 97.5% (95% CI 95.2, 98.6) of hospitalizations and deaths. Among non-South Asians, vaccines prevented 86.6% (CI 86.3, 86.9) of COVID-19 infections and 93.1% (CI 92.2, 93.8) of hospitalizations and deaths. Non-vaccinated South Asians had higher odds of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to non-vaccinated non-South Asians (OR 2.35, 95% CI 2.3, 2.4), regardless of their immigration status. Conclusions COVID-19 vaccines are effective in preventing infections, hospitalizations and deaths among South Asians living in Canada. The observation that non-vaccinated South Asians have higher odds of symptomatic COVID-19 infection warrants further investigation. What is already known? Some ethnic communities, such as South Asians, were disproportionately impacted during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there are limited data on COVID-19 vaccine efficacy among this high-risk ethnic group. What this study adds? - In this large population-based study including close to 900,000 individuals in Canada, we show COVID-19 vaccines are effective in preventing symptomatic SARS CoV-2 infections, hospitalizations and deaths among both South Asians and non-South Asians. - We also demonstrate that, among non-vaccinated individuals, South Asians have higher odds of COVID-19 infection, and an increased risk of COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths compared to non-South Asians.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.270
Threshold uncertainty score0.543

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.077
GPT teacher head0.361
Teacher spread0.285 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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