KDK: tweaking decay constants of potassium relevant to geochronology
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Potassium-40 (40K) is a naturally-occurring radioactive isotope whose 1.27 Ga halflife makes it useful in geochronology. Most of the time, it decays by beta emission to calcium, or by electron-capture to an excited state of argon. The electroncapture decay directly to the ground state of argon has never been observed, and predicted intensities are highly variable (0-0.22%). This poorly understood intensity affects the precision of Ar-based dating [1]. The KDK (potassium decay) experiment has carried out the first measurement of this elusive branch, using a novel setup at Oak Ridge National Lab [2]. We report [3,4] a branching ratio of 0.098%stat0.023%sys0.010% (68% confidence level), roughly half the commonly used prediction. Implications are illustrated for the Acapulco meteorite.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.012 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".