The distribution of sample mean-variance portfolio weights
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We present a simple stochastic representation for the joint distribution of sample estimates of three scalar parameters and two vectors of portfolio weights that characterize the minimum-variance frontier. This stochastic representation is useful for sampling observations efficiently, deriving moments in closed-form, and studying the distribution and performance of many portfolio strategies that are functions of these five variables. We also present the asymptotic joint distributions of these five variables for both the standard regime and the high-dimensional regime. Both asymptotic distributions are simpler than the finite-sample one, and the one for the high-dimensional regime, i.e. when the number of assets and the sample size go together to infinity at a constant rate, reveals the high-dimensional properties of the considered estimators. Our results extend upon T. Bodnar, H. Dette, N. Parolya and E. Thorstén [Sampling distributions of optimal portfolio weights and characteristics in low and large dimensions, Random Matrices: Theory Appl. 11 (2022) 2250008].
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it