Bo Petersson, The Putin Predicament: Problems of Legitimacy and Succession in Russia
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The power of official discourse helps to shape and maintain the political legitimacy of incumbent regimes in modern autocracies.The Putin Predicament offers an excellent analysis of the evolution of Putin's narratives during the past three decades, with a special focus on the turbulent period from 2012 to the COVID-19 pandemic.Petersson explores the dilemma of the seeming invincibility and durability of Putin's leadership, addressing the issue of succession and the legal, economic, and moral basis for personalistic power justification.The central claim is that Putin built his authority based on charismatic legitimization through the construction of political myths as a method of his ideational self-expression and domination.These myths have been well received by the public, producing a coherent and convincing narrative structure that secured the support and trust of the popular majority for an extended period.Myths possess an "ideational power basis of the regime" (52) to account for its durability.As a gifted storyteller and communicator, the Kremlin chief was able to articulate and exploit new political myths about modern Russia's supremacy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.006 | 0.006 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.007 | 0.008 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".