The success of publicly funded rotavirus vaccine programs for preventing community- and hospital-acquired rotavirus infections in Canadian pediatric hospitals: an observational study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Canadian immunization programs for rotavirus started in 2011. We sought to determine their effect on the burden of community-acquired admissions and hospital-acquired rotavirus at pediatric hospitals. METHODS: The Canadian Immunization Monitoring Program Active (IMPACT) network conducted active surveillance for rotavirus-positive hospital admissions between 2005 and 2020 at 12 pediatric hospitals. We used yearly rates of community-acquired rotavirus per 10 000 admissions and hospital-acquired rotavirus infections per 1000 patient-days to determine changes in the pre- and post-vaccine program periods. RESULTS: During the 15-year study period, 5691 rotavirus hospital admissions and hospital-acquired infections were detected, including 4323 (76%) community-acquired infections and 1368 (24%) hospital-acquired infections. The average community-acquired rate in the pre-vaccine period was 60.3 (95% confidence interval [CI] 53.7-68.3) per 10 000 admissions, with a decline to 11.0 (95% CI 7.5-15.1) per 10 000 admissions in the post-vaccine period, resulting in an average reduction of 81.7% (95% CI 74.4%-87.8%). The rate of hospital-acquired rotavirus declined from 0.35 (95% CI 0.29-0.41) per 1000 patient-days in the pre-vaccine period to 0.05 (95% CI 0.03-0.07) per 1000 patient-days in the post-vaccine period, resulting in an 85.3% (95% CI 77.7%-91.9%) average decline. Herd protection was present among children aged 2-16 years. INTERPRETATION: Although start dates of rotavirus vaccine programs across provinces varied, there was around an 80% average decrease in both community-acquired and hospital-acquired rotavirus infections at pediatric hospitals in Canada in the 1- to 9-year interval after implementation of rotavirus vaccine programs. Herd protection is an important aspect of rotavirus vaccines for other children who are not vaccine eligible, and rotavirus vaccines continue to provide important benefits both for children and health care systems.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.021 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".