The political ideology of Turkey’s Islamist swing under Erdoğan
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
After running Turkey with a neoliberal reformist agenda in the 2000s, Erdoğan and his Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi, AKP) made a Turco-Islamist turn in the early 2010s. Defining the turn as restitutive Islamism, this paper explains it by Erdoğan’s ethno-religious ideas and political strategies. More specifically, the paper argues that his dormant Turco-Islamist ideas, shaped in the first wave of Islamicization in the 1970s and 1980s, were reactivated by two – one internal and one external – triggers in the late 2000s: (1) escalation of mass protests and military-juridical scheming by the conservative-laicist bloc against the AKP rule; and (2) failure of the European Union to meaningfully engage in accession negotiations with Turkey. Putting to use his effective communication skills, keen sense of domestic and international juncture, and knack for building and breaking alliances, Erdoğan also relied on the institutional legacy of Kemalism for advancing the cause of Turco-Islamism.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it