Social engagement and the risk of incident dementia: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Strong psychosocial health has been linked to preserved cognition and functional independence in older adults. Associations between late‐life psychosocial health and dementia risk have been established in older adults, but it remains less clear how one’s social interactions in mid‐life may relate to dementia risk in late life. We hypothesized that social engagement in mid‐life will be negatively associated with the risk of dementia in late‐life. Method We included data from 13,216 dementia‐free participants at midlife (mean age: 57.0 years, SD: 5.7 years, 54.9% female, 23.8% Black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort study. Social support and isolation were assessed via interviewer‐administered questionnaires (visit 2: 1990‐1992). Based upon categorization of both factors, participants were classified as having high, intermediate, or low mid‐life social engagement. Incident dementia cases were identified from visit 2 through December 31, 2019 with ongoing surveillance (e.g., in‐person neurocognitive testing, informant interviews, and hospitalization codes). Primary analyses used Cox proportional hazards regression models and were adjusted for demographics, APOE ε4, occupational/marital status, depressive symptoms, and vascular risk factors measured at visit 2. Secondary analyses examined whether sex and/or race modified the association between mid‐life social engagement and dementia risk with formal tests for interaction. Result Among 13,261 participants, 2,555 developed dementia (median follow‐up: 23.7 years). Participants with high (hazard ratio (HR): 0.77, 95% CI: 0.68 ‐ 0.86) or intermediate social engagement (HR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.74 – 0.95) in mid‐life had a lower risk for developing dementia, compared to participants with low social engagement in mid‐life (Figure 1, Table 1). Sex modified this effect ( p‐value for interaction = 0.042) whereas race did not. In males, only those with high social engagement in mid‐life had a lower risk of dementia; the association between males with intermediate social engagement in mid‐life and dementia risk was not significant (Table 2). Conclusion Greater social engagement in mid‐life is associated with a lower risk of dementia. This finding provides further evidence that mid‐life may be a critical time window for dementia prevention. Longitudinal studies evaluating the mechanisms by which psychosocial factors modify the likelihood of incident dementia are needed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".