Trajectories in Depressive Symptoms and Midlife Brain Health
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Evidence in older adults suggests that depressive symptoms may be part of prodromal mood changes in dementia, rather than a risk factor. However, it is unclear whether variations in depressive symptoms in adulthood exhibit distinct characteristics in brain structure and cognitive function in midlife. Methods From the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study, we identified 662 Black and White participants (age 23‐36 at baseline) who completed the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression scale (CES‐D) at six time points over 20 years. 20 years after baseline, the participants underwent magnetic resonance imaging to characterize gray matter (GM) structures (total GM, temporal cortex, hippocampus, and entorhinal cortex) and white matter hyperintensities (WMHs). Participants also completed neuropsychological tests including the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), Rey‐Auditory Verbal Learning Test (RAVLT), Stroop Test, Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), and category and letter fluency tests, analyzed as z‐scores. Results Using growth mixture modeling, we identified four trajectories of depressive symptoms (Figure 1): consistently low scorers (“steady low”; n = 509, 76.9%), a class with an early peak and decline in symptoms (“declining”; n = 63, 9.5%), a class with late increases in symptoms (“increasing”; n = 49, 7.4%), and consistently high scorers (“steady high”; n = 41, 6.2%). Compared to the steady low class, the steady high class had lower entorhinal cortex volume (β: ‐180.80, 95% CI: ‐336.69 to ‐24.91). The increasing class, had more WMHs (β: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.22 to 0.89) and less total brain volume (β: ‐9269.25, 95% CI: ‐17104.67 to ‐1444.82). Both the steady high and the increasing classes had poorer performance on the Stroop task (β: ‐0.40, 95% CI: ‐0.70 to ‐0.10; β: ‐0.39, 95% CI: ‐0.64 to ‐0.14, respectively), however the steady high also had poorer DSST performance (β: ‐0.40, 95% CI: ‐0.67 to ‐0.13), while the increasing class had poorer performance on the MoCA (β: ‐1.20, 95% CI: ‐2.04 to ‐0.37). The declining group was not significantly different from the steady low group on any brain or cognitive measures. Conclusions Our findings suggest that trajectories in depressive symptoms in young to mid‐adulthood show different cognitive and brain phenotypes in midlife.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".