Potential utility of using both <i>APOE</i>ε4 and Aβ positivity to enrich clinical trials of tau‐targeting therapies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background The use of enrichment strategies is crucial for selecting individuals with the highest probability of Alzheimer’s disease (AD)‐related progression in typical clinical trial time frames. Although both amyloid‐β (Aβ) pathology and the apolipoprotein E ε4 (APOEε4) genotype have been shown to accelerate tau accumulation, it is still not clear whether assessing both APOEε4 genotype and Aβ positivity is useful to enrich tau‐targeting trials using tau positron emission tomography (PET) as outcome. Here, we investigated the implications of considering APOEε4 carriership for population enrichment in trials testing drug effects on tau tangle deposition in cognitively impaired (CI) individuals across the AD continuum. Method We studied 29 Aβ positive CI individuals (16 with mild cognitive impairment [MCI] and 13 with AD dementia) from the McGill Translational Biomarkers in Aging and Dementia (TRIAD) cohort. Study participants underwent clinical assessments, APOE genotyping, magnetic resonance imaging, PET for Aβ ([18F]AZD4694) and tau ([18F]MK6240) at baseline, as well as a follow‐up tau‐PET scan (mean follow‐up, 2.2 years). Aβ positivity was determined as global [18F]AZD4694 SUVR ≥ 1.55. Result No demographic differences were observed between APOEε4 carriers and noncarriers (Table 1). Regression analysis revealed that APOEε4 carriers had higher tau‐PET SUVR increase in temporal regions compared to APOEε4 noncarriers (Figure 1). The use of Aβ positivity alone for population enrichment of a clinical trial focusing on CI individuals would require a sample size of 436 individuals per study arm to test a 25% drug effect on tau‐PET accumulation (Figure 2). A similar clinical trial with a population enrichment strategy using Aβ positivity plus APOEε4 carriership would require a sample size of as few as 158 individuals per study arm (reduction of 64% in relation to using only Aβ positivity) to test the same drug effect (Figure 2). Conclusion Our results reveal that APOEε4 carriership is associated with increased tau tangle accumulation in CI individuals who are Aβ positive. Clinical trials testing drug effects on tangle deposition may benefit from assessing both APOEε4 carriership and Aβ positivity statuses as enrollment criteria to select individuals at higher risk of fast tau accumulation, resulting in a more cost‐effective trial.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.060 | 0.066 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".