PROGNOSTIC PERFORMANCE OF SERIAL DETERMINATION OF THE SOCIETY FOR CARDIOVASCULAR ANGIOGRAPHY AND INTERVENTIONS SHOCK CLASSIFICATION IN ADULTS WITH CRITICAL ILLNESS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACT: Purpose: The aim of the study is to evaluate whether serial assessment of shock severity can improve prognostication in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Materials and Methods: This is a retrospective cohort of 21,461 ICU patient admissions from 2014 to 2018. We assigned the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI) Shock Stage in each 4-h block during the first 24 h of ICU admission; shock was defined as SCAI Shock stage C, D, or E. In-hospital mortality was evaluated using logistic regression. Results: The admission SCAI Shock stages were as follows: A, 39.0%; B, 27.0%; C, 28.9%; D, 2.6%; and E, 2.5%. The SCAI Shock stage subsequently increased in 30.6%, and late-onset shock developed in 30.4%. In-hospital mortality was higher in patients who had shock on admission (11.9%) or late-onset shock (7.3%) versus no shock (4.3%). Persistence of shock predicted higher mortality (adjusted OR = 1.09; 95% CI = 1.06-1.13, for each ICU block with shock). The mean SCAI Shock stage had higher discrimination for in-hospital mortality than the admission or maximum SCAI Shock stage. Dynamic modeling of the SCAI Shock classification improved discrimination for in-hospital mortality (C-statistic = 0.64-0.71). Conclusions: Serial application of the SCAI Shock classification provides improved mortality risk stratification compared with a single assessment on admission, facilitating dynamic prognostication.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".