Serum Activin A Is a Novel Biomarker of Endoscopic Activity in Ulcerative Colitis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Endoscopic healing (EH) is the long-term therapeutic goal for ulcerative colitis (UC). Since repeated colonoscopies are inconvenient and invasive, a surrogate biomarker for endoscopic activity is needed. Activin A is one of the transforming growth factor-β superfamily of proteins and has been shown to be associated with intestinal inflammation. Methods: This single-center observational study included 27 Japanese patients with UC in clinical remission who underwent colonoscopy and blood sampling. We investigated the correlations between laboratory parameters, including serum activin A levels, and endoscopic activity, classified by the Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) in these patients. Results: This study included 15 males and 12 females. The median age was 44.0 years. In terms of endoscopic activity, five patients were diagnosed with MES 0, 14 patients with MES 1, seven patients with MES 2, and one patient with MES 3. The median serum activin level was 134.8 pg/mL (interquartile range (IQR), 105.3 - 188.1). Serum activin A levels were significantly correlated with the MES (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient r = 0.591, P = 0.001), which was better than that of C-reactive protein (CRP) (r = 0.487, P = 0.010). In the comparison between the EH group (MES 0) and non-EH group (MES 1-3), patients without EH had significantly higher serum activin A levels (Mann-Whitney U test, P = 0.047). A cutoff value of 133.6 pg/mL indicated non-EH with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.682 and 1.000, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of serum activin A for detecting non-EH was 0.791 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.618 - 0.964), while that of CRP was 0.723 (95% CI, 0.504 - 0.941). Conclusions: The serum activin A level is a potential novel biomarker of endoscopic activity in UC.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".