MétaCan
Menu
← Back to cohort
Record W4390393405 · doi:10.1101/2023.12.26.23299170

Detection of Lung Cancer Cases in Chest CT Scans Utilizing Artificial Intelligence: A Retrospective Analysis of Data During the COVID-19 Pandemic

2023· preprint· en· W4390393405 on OpenAlexaff
Р. А. Зуков, I.P. Safontsev, Marina P. Klimenok, Tatyana E. Zabrodskaya, Н. А. Меркулова, Valeria Chernina, Mikhail Belyaev, V. V. Omelyanovsky, K.A. Ulyanova, Eugenia Soboleva, Mariia Donskova, Mariya Blokhina, Elena A. Nalivkina, Victor А. Gombolevskiy

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2023
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicLung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
Canadian institutionsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada)
FundersAstraZeneca
KeywordsLung cancerMedicineCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)False positive paradoxRetrospective cohort studyRadiologyLungNodule (geology)CancerMedical recordPandemicInternal medicineArtificial intelligenceComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Purpose To evaluate the potential of using artificial intelligence (AI) focused pulmonary nodule search on chest CT data obtained during the COVID-19 pandemic to identify lung cancer (LC) patients. Methods A multicenter, retrospective study in the Krasnoyarsk region, Russia analyzed CTs of COVID-19 patients using the automated algorithm, Chest-IRA by IRA Labs. Pulmonary nodules larger than 100 mm³ were identified by the AI and assessed by four radiologists, who categorized them into three groups: “high probability of LC”, “insufficiently convincing evidence of LC”, “without evidence of LC”. Patients with findings were analyzed by radiologists, checked with the state cancer registry and electronic medical records. Patients with confirmed findings that were not available in the cancer registry were invited for chest CT and verification was performed according to the decision of the medical consilium. The study also estimated the economic impact of the AI by considering labor costs and savings on treatment for patients in the early stages compared to late stages, taking into account the saved life years and their potential contribution to the gross regional product. Results An AI identified lung nodules in 484 out of 10,500 chest CTs. Of the 484, 355 could be evaluated, the remaining 129 had de-anonymization problems and were excluded. Of the 355, 252 cases having high and intermediate probabilities of LC, 103 were found to be false positives. From 252 was 100 histologically verified LC cases, 35 were in stages I-II and 65 were in stages III-IV. 2 lung cancers were diagnosed for the first time. Using AI instead of CT review by radiologists will save 2.43 million rubles (23,786 EUR/ 26690 USD/ 196,536 CNY) in direct salary, with expected savings to the regional budget of 8.22 million rubles (80,463 EUR/ 90,466 USD/ 666,162 CNY). The financial equivalent of the life years saved was 173.25 million rubles (1,695,892 EUR/ 1905750 USD/ 14,033,250 CNY). The total effect over five years is estimated at 183.9 million rubles (1,800,142 EUR/ 2,022,907 USD/ 14,895,949 CNY). Conclusion Using AI to evaluate large volumes of chest CTs done for reasons unrelated to lung cancer screening may facilitate early and cost-effective detection of incidental pulmonary nodules that might otherwise be missed.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.011

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.179
GPT teacher head0.425
Teacher spread0.245 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venuemedRxiv→Same topicLung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment→French-language works237,207→