Maximum likelihood estimation of renal transporter ontogeny profiles for pediatric PBPK modeling
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Optimal treatment of infants with many renally cleared drugs must account for maturational differences in renal transporter (RT) activity. Pediatric physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models may incorporate RT activity, but this requires ontogeny profiles for RT activity in children, especially neonates, to predict drug disposition. Therefore, RT expression measurements from human kidney postmortem cortical tissue samples were normalized to represent a fraction of mature RT activity. Using these data, maximum likelihood estimated the distributions of RT activity across the pediatric age spectrum, including preterm and term neonates. PBPK models of four RT substrates (acyclovir, ciprofloxacin, furosemide, and meropenem) were evaluated with and without ontogeny profiles using average fold error (AFE), absolute average fold error (AAFE), and proportion of observations within the 5-95% prediction interval. Novel maximum likelihood profiles estimated ontogeny distributions for the following RT: OAT1, OAT3, OCT2, P-gp, URAT1, BCRP, MATE1, MRP2, MRP4, and MATE-2 K. Profiles for OAT3, P-gp, and MATE1 improved infant furosemide and neonate meropenem PBPK model AFE from 0.08 to 0.70 and 0.53 to 1.34 and model AAFE from 12.08 to 1.44 and 2.09 to 1.36, respectively, and improved the percent of data within the 5-95% prediction interval from 48% to 98% for neonatal ciprofloxacin simulations, respectively. Even after accounting for other critical population-specific maturational differences, novel RT ontogeny profiles substantially improved neonatal PBPK model performance, providing validated estimates of maturational differences in RT activity for optimal dosing in children.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".