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Winter Arctic Sea Ice Surface Form Drag During 1999-2021: Satellite Retrieval and Spatiotemporal Variability

2024· preprint· en· W4390692079 on OpenAlexaff
Zhilun Zhang, Fengming Hui, Mohammed Shokr, Mats A. Granskog, Bin Cheng, Timo Vihma, Xiao Cheng

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsEnvironment and Climate Change Canada
FundersNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaUniversität BremenEuropean CommissionInstitut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la MerUniversity of Washington
KeywordsArctic ice packSea iceArcticClimatologyArctic geoengineeringSatelliteArctic sea ice declineSea ice thicknessGeologyEnvironmental scienceDrag coefficientDragAtmospheric sciencesOceanographyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The neutral form drag coefficient is an important parameter when estimating surface turbulent fluxes over Arctic sea ice. The form drag caused by surface features (𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 ) dominates the total drag in the winter, but long-term pan-Arctic records of 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 are still lacking for Arctic sea ice. In this study, we first developed an improved surface feature detection algorithm and characterized the surface features (including height and spacing) over Arctic sea ice during the late winter of 2009-2019 using the full-scan laser altimeter data obtained in the Operation IceBridge mission. 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 was then estimated using an existing parameterization scheme. This was followed by applying a satellite-derived backscatter coefficient (𝝈 𝒐 𝒗𝒗 ) to 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 regression model to extrapolate, for the first time, 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 to the pan-Arctic scale for the entire winter season over two decades (from 1999 to 2021). We found that the surface features have a larger height and smaller spacing over multi-year ice (1.15 ± 0.21 m and 142 ± 49 m) than over first-year ice (0.90 ± 0.16 m and 241 ± 129 m). The monthly mean 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 increases through the winter, from 0.2 × 10 −3 in November to 0.4-0.5 × 10 −3 in April. The central Arctic has the largest 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 (up to 2 × 10 −3), but experienced a drop of ~50% in the period from 2001/2002 to 2008/2009. The interannual fluctuations in 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 are strongly linked to the variability of sea ice thickness and deformation, and the latter has become increasingly important for 𝑪 𝒅𝒏,𝒇𝒓 since 2009.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.052
Threshold uncertainty score0.103

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.213
Teacher spread0.203 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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