Molecular prognostication in grade 3 meningiomas and p16/MTAP immunohistochemistry for predicting <i>CDKN2A/B</i> status
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background The World Health Organization 2021 classification introduces molecular grading criteria for anaplastic meningiomas, including TERT promoter (TERTp) mutations and CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion. Additional adverse prognostic factors include H3K27me3 and BAP1 loss. The aim of this study was to explore whether these molecular alterations stratified clinical outcomes in a single-center cohort of grade 3 meningiomas. Additionally, we examined whether p16 and MTAP immunohistochemistry can predict CDKN2A/B status. Methods Clinical and histopathological information was obtained from the electronic medical records of grade 3 meningiomas resected at a tertiary center between 2007 and 2020. Molecular testing for TERTp mutations and CDKN2A/B copy-number status, methylation profiling, and immunohistochemistry for H3K27me3, BAP1, p16, and methylthioadenosine phosphorylase (MTAP) were performed. Predictors of survival were identified by Cox regression. Results Eight of 15 cases demonstrated elevated mitotic index (≥20 mitoses per 10 consecutive high-power fields), 1 tumor exhibited BAP1 loss, 4 harbored TERTp mutations, and 3 demonstrated CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion. Meningiomas with TERTp mutations and/or CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion showed significantly reduced survival compared to anaplastic meningiomas with elevated mitotic index alone. Immunohistochemical loss of p16 and MTAP demonstrated high sensitivity (67% and 100%, respectively) and specificity (100% and 100%, respectively) for predicting CDKN2A/B status. Conclusions Molecular alterations of grade 3 meningiomas stratify clinical outcomes more so than histologic features alone. Immunohistochemical loss of p16 and MTAP show promise in predicting CDKN2A/B status.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it