P928 "Metabolism and Response to Stress" (MARS) gene signatures reveal heterogeneity in patients with Ulcerative Colitis and identify characteristics of patients with increased response to therapy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Ulcerative colitis (UC) therapies lead to variable remission in participants in clinical trials likely due to interindividual variability, differences in active biological pathways, feedback, and/or resistance mechanisms. We sought to characterise these differences using mucosal biopsy transcriptomics datasets from two recent UC clinical trials. Methods Two clinical trial datasets including patients with moderate to severe UC with mucosal biopsy RNA-Sequencing analysis were used: a phase 2/3 study of andecaliximab (anti-matrix metalloproteinase-9, NCT02520284) and a phase 3 study of ustekinumab (anti-interleukin-12/23, UNIFI, NCT02407236). Samples were scored for enrichment of ~5200 MSigDB signatures using Geneset Variation Analysis and were evaluated for correlation to the sample Robarts Histopathology Index (RHI) (Figure). Results From the andecaliximab baseline and follow-up samples, 11 Reactome pathways were specifically selected that were moderately correlated with RHI (r=~0.4) and had low correlation to each other (r<0.7). The 11 genesets, called Metabolism and Response to Stress (MARS) signatures, can generally be sorted into 2 categories: 5 metabolism-related and 6 related to stress response. Clustering of baseline andecaliximab samples scored with MARS signatures revealed 3 major sample groups (baseline and follow-up samples). Group 1 had low metabolism/high stress scores, group 2 had high metabolism/low stress scores, and group 3 had a mixture of samples that had high metabolism/low stress and low metabolism/high stress. Group 2 was associated with a lower proportion of current smokers (p=.04), and group 3 had a higher proportion of immunomodulator failure (p=.03), but not associated with disease duration or prior biologic use. Group 2 had lower Geboes score for epithelial neutrophils (p=.02), lamina propria neutrophils (p=.002), and inflammatory infiltrate (p=.03), while eosinophils increased (p=.01). To evaluate prediction of response to therapy, we evaluated the UNIFI dataset baseline samples using the MARS signatures and identified 4 groups. Group 2 had low metabolism/high stress response, group 3 had high metabolism/low stress response, and groups 1 and 4 had a mixture. The mucosal healing response rate was 3- to 4-fold lower for group 2 than other groups (5.3% [group 2] and 19%, 23%, and 21% for other groups, p=.0009). Conclusion We describe the MARS signatures which characterise the heterogeneity of participants with UC clinical trials and identify participants most likely to respond to ustekinumab at baseline. These signatures may be generally useful to predict patient response, match therapeutics to patient profiles, or identify pathways to target in difficult-to-treat patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".