P550 Short and long-term outcomes after acute severe ulcerative colitis in adults: A 12 year Canadian experience in the post biologic era
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Patients with acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) are at increased risk of colectomy following an episode of acute severe exacerbation. Medical rescue therapy in steroid non-responders has reduced the need for emergency colectomy. However, impact of biologics on longer-term colectomy risk is unclear. Methods A retrospective cohort study of adult patients aged ≥18 years hospitalized with acute exacerbation of UC requiring hospitalization and managed with intravenous corticosteroids between 2010 and 2022 at two regional hospitals in London, Ontario, Canada. Steroid non-response was defined as requirement of medical rescue therapy or colectomy. Results A total of 264 adults hospitalized with ASUC were included in the analysis (male: 51.1% [n=136], mean age at admission: 40.8±17.8 years). The majority had extensive colitis (71.3% [n=169]) at the time of diagnosis. 46.3% (n=118/255) presented within one year of disease onset and 23% (n=61) had ASUC as their first presentation with UC. 25.7% (n=66/257) of patients had prior purine analogues and 23.3% (60/257) had previous biologics prior to ASUC presentation. After admission, 55.7% (n=147) responded to intravenous corticosteroids. Of the steroid non-responders, 37.5% (n=99) patients were managed with infliximab rescue therapy and only one patient received tofacitinib rescue therapy. Median CRP, stool frequency and Lindgren index score were statistically significant between steroid responders and non-responders (Table 1). A higher proportion of steroid non-responders had prior exposure to biologics or tofacitinib compared to steroid responders (31.9% vs 16.3%, p<0.01). On multivariate analysis for various factors predicting steroid non-response, assessment by Oxford criteria on day 3 was the only factor that was statistically significant (odds ratio 4.70 (95% CI 1.06-20.8), p = 0.04). Oxford criteria on day 3 had a sensitivity, specificity of 58.6% and70.8%, respectively for predicting steroid non-response. 8% (n=21) required colectomy during index admission. An additional 13% (n = 32) underwent colectomy within 12 months of discharge, for which there was no difference between steroid responders and non-responders (12.2% vs 14.7%). The short term (3 months following discharge) and long-term (3-12 months following discharge) colectomy rates following discharge were 8% (20/245) and 5.4% (12/223) respectively. Hospitalization with UC exacerbation rate following discharge was 17% (38/223). Conclusion 8% of patients admitted for ASUC require colectomy during the same admission and additional 13% required colectomy within 12 months of discharge. Despite a high initial response to corticosteroids, long term colectomy rates and re-hospitalization rates remain high.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".