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Record W4391238873 · doi:10.54097/gf8fqk26

Co-movement of commodity futures and stock markets

2024· article· en· W4391238873 on OpenAlexaff
Yixi Yang

Bibliographic record

VenueHighlights in Business Economics and Management · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMarket Dynamics and Volatility
Canadian institutionsHEC Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFutures contractStock (firearms)Financial economicsMovement (music)BusinessEconomicsMonetary economicsGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Navigating through the complex interface of commodities and stock markets, this paper elucidates the pivotal role of commodities in sustaining China's expansive economic and infrastructural panorama. Amidst significant urbanization, industrial advancement, and burgeoning population, China's vast commodities sector plays a vital role in satisfying domestic consumption, facilitating export operations, and underpinning sustained growth. Exploring the intricate linkage between commodities and stock markets, the study reveals a positive correlation between commodity futures and stock market dynamics, enriching the discourse on their co-movements within an emerging economy framework like China. The research, while offering invaluable insights into the complexities of these relationships, also lays the groundwork for future studies, inviting exploration into the causal dynamics and global perspectives. The findings, though illuminative, underscore the necessity for holistic, judicious investment and policy decision-making, reminding stakeholders to meticulously consider broader financial landscapes and market peculiarities alongside analytical insights, thus balancing data-driven decisions with strategic foresight in the vast, interconnected world of financial markets.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.940
Threshold uncertainty score0.782

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.217
Teacher spread0.201 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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