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Record W4391262151 · doi:10.54097/jj4cj015

Stock Value Analysis Based on the DDM Model: An Example of Company COSCO

2024· article· en· W4391262151 on OpenAlexaff
Fengyuan Tian

Bibliographic record

VenueHighlights in Business Economics and Management · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsUniversity of VictoriaUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStock (firearms)Stock marketComputer scienceEconometricsOperations researchFinancial economicsEconomicsBusinessMathematicsEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The stock market is unpredictable and there are many ways and means to analyze stocks, DDM is still worth to be analyzed and discussed as one of the less common but very basic and important analytical means. This paper, will focus on GGM in DDM and apply it to COSCO Shipping Holding to find out whether DDM is applicable to this stock and whether this stock is worth investing in. In this paper, it obtains the relevant data from the company's annual report as well as the financial data website, calculate and derive the final estimate by using the DDM formula. The estimated value will be compared with the actual value to determine whether the stock is worth investing in or not. In the end, the estimated value calculated by DDM is much larger than the actual stock price, which means that the stock is seriously undervalued and may bring great returns according to the principle of DDM. Combining the actual situation and objective factors, this paper concludes that the principle and formula of DDM are very important, but it is not applicable to all situations. The necessary conditions are more demanding, and they need to be combined with many other theories to analyze many aspects.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.062
Threshold uncertainty score0.122

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.144
GPT teacher head0.348
Teacher spread0.204 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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