Early model-based precision-dosing at home to guide adalimumab therapy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
1. Aims Underdosing of adalimumab can result in non-response and poor disease control. In this study we investigated the prediction of adalimumab levels with population pharmacokinetic model-based Bayesian forecasting early in therapy. This way underexposed non-responders can possibly be identified early to optimise disease control. 2. Methods A literature study was performed to identify adalimumab pharmacokinetic models. With data from a previous pharmacokinetic adalimumab study a model was evaluated retrospectively. In the prospective phase, a fit-for-purpose evaluation of the model was performed for rheumatologic and inflammatory bowel disease patients with peak, trough and control adalimumab samples obtained by a volumetric absorptive microsampling technique and administration data from an electronic needle container. Steady state adalimumab levels were predicted from peak and trough levels collected after the first adalimumab administration. Predictive performance was calculated with mean prediction error (MPE) and normalized root mean square error (RMSE). 3. Results An existing pharmacokinetic model was selected with external validation for the prospective phase. Thirty-six patients (22 rheumatologic and 14 IBD) were included in our study. After stratification for absence of anti-adalimumab antibodies, the calculated MPE was -2.6% and normalised RMSE 24.0%. Concordance between predicted and measured adalimumab serum levels falling within or outside the therapeutic window was 75%. Three patients (8.3%) developed detectable levels of anti-adalimumab antibodies. 4. Conclusion This prospective study demonstrates that adalimumab levels at steady state can be predicted from early samples. This concept enables early precision dosing at home to guide therapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".