Evaluation of five models for constructing forest NPP–age relationships in China based on 3121 field survey samples
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract. Forest net primary productivity (NPP), representing the net carbon gain from the atmosphere, varies significantly with forest age. Reliable forest NPP–age relationships are essential for forest carbon cycle modeling and prediction. These relationships can be derived from forest inventory or field survey data, but it is unclear which model is the most effective in simulating forest NPP variation with age. Here, we aim to establish NPP–age relationships for China's forests based on 3121 field survey samples. Five models, including the semi-empirical mathematical (SEM) function, the second-degree polynomial (SDP) function, the logarithmic (L) function, the Michaelis–Menten (M) function, and the Γ function, were compared against field data. Results of the comparison showed that the SEM and Γ functions performed much better than the other three models, but due to the limited field survey samples at old ages, the Γ function showed a sharp decrease in NPP (decreased to almost zero) at old ages when building some forest NPP–age curves, while SEM could capture the variations in forest NPP at old ages reasonably well. Considering the overall performance with currently available forest field survey samples, SEM was regarded as the optimal NPP–age model. The finalized forest NPP–age curves for five forest types in six regions of China can facilitate forest carbon cycle modeling and future projection by using the process-based Integrated Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon (InTEC) model in China and may also be useful for other regions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".