School Vaccine Coverage and Medical Exemption Uptake After the New York State Repeal of Nonmedical Vaccination Exemptions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Although New York State (NYS) recently adopted legislation eliminating nonmedical vaccination exemption options from school-entry requirements, the implications of the law for school vaccine coverage and medical vaccine exemption uptake have not been examined. Objective: To evaluate the implications of the repeal of school-entry nonmedical vaccination exemptions for vaccine coverage and medical exemption uptake at NYS schools outside of New York City (NYC). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study had an interrupted time-series design and used generalized estimating equation models to examine longitudinal school immunization compliance data from the 2012 to 2013 through 2021 to 2022 school years. The cohort comprised NYS public and nonpublic schools, excluding NYC schools, with any students enrolled in kindergarten to 12th grade. Eligible schools had enrollment and immunization data before and after the implementation of the Senate Bill 2994A legislation. Data analyses were conducted in July 2023. Exposure: Senate Bill 2994A was passed in June 2019, eliminating school-entry nonmedical vaccination exemptions. Since compliance with the law was evaluated for most students during the next school year, the 2019 to 2020 school year was considered to be the law's effective date. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were school vaccine coverage (defined as the percentage of students at each school who completed grade-appropriate requirements for all required vaccines) and medical exemption uptake (defined as the percentage of students at each school who received a medical exemption). Results: Among the 3821 eligible schools, 3632 (95.1%) were included in the analysis, representing 2794 (96.9% of eligible) public schools and 838 (89.2% of eligible) nonpublic schools. The implementation of Senate Bill 2994A was associated with absolute increases in mean vaccine coverage of 5.5% (95% CI, 4.5%-6.6%) among nonpublic schools and 0.9% (95% CI, 0.7%-1.1%) among public schools, with additional annual increases in vaccine coverage observed through the 2021 to 2022 school year. The law's implementation was also associated with a 0.1% (95% CI, 0.0%-0.1%) mean absolute decrease in medical vaccination exemption uptake at both public and nonpublic schools, and small but significant mean annual decreases in medical vaccination exemptions (0.02%; 95% CI, 0.01%-0.03%) through the end of the study period. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggested that repeal of school-entry nonmedical vaccination exemptions was associated with increased vaccine coverage at NYS schools outside of NYC. Coverage gains were not replaced by increases in medical vaccination exemptions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".