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Record W4391513056 · doi:10.31219/osf.io/6ay7s

Trust in scientists and their role in society across 68 countries

2024· preprint· en· W4391513056 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Viktoria Cologna, Niels G. Mede, Sebastian Berger, John C. Besley, Cameron Brick, Marina Joubert, Edward Maibach, Sabina Mihelj, Наоми Орескес, Mike S. Schäfer, Sander van der Linden

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicMisinformation and Its Impacts
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersResearch Institute of Science and Technology for SocietyCentre for Research in the Arts, Social Sciences and Humanities, University of CambridgeEconomic and Social Research CouncilHORIZON EUROPE Framework ProgrammeKementerian Pendidikan, Kebudayaan, Riset, dan TeknologiCentre for Marine SocioecologyNational Science and Technology CouncilFundación Española para la Ciencia y la TecnologíaGenome AlbertaNOMIS StiftungNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsUniwersytet ŁódzkiGovernment of AlbertaFédération Wallonie-BruxellesUniversitetet i BergenUniversität zu LübeckUniverzita Karlova v PrazeConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoUnited States Agency for International DevelopmentUniversität WienEidgenössische Technische Hochschule ZürichUniwersytet WarszawskiAston UniversityAarhus Universitets ForskningsfondLembaga Pengelola Dana PendidikanAustrian Science FundUniversität ZürichJohn Templeton FoundationBundesministerium für Bildung und ForschungEuropean CommissionLeverhulme TrustFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São PauloNederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk OnderzoekDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftAarhus UniversitetVictoria University of WellingtonAgentúra na Podporu Výskumu a VývojaBundesamt für EnergieUniversity of WarwickNational Science FoundationUK Research and InnovationSchweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen ForschungGovernment of the United KingdomCity University of Hong KongVictoria UniversityResnick Sustainability Institute for Science, Energy and Sustainability, California Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of TechnologyTurun YliopistoUniversität HamburgCalifornia Institute of TechnologyUniversity of TasmaniaGenome CanadaHarvard UniversityCarleton CollegeVetenskapsrådetTrinity Western UniversityAgence Nationale de la RechercheUniversité Catholique de LouvainFundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaUniwersytet Śląski w KatowicachBill and Melinda Gates FoundationHarvey Mudd College
KeywordsPolitical sciencePublic trustPoliticsPublic relationsBiology and political orientationAffect (linguistics)PandemicScientific evidencePublic opinionCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)SociologyLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Science is crucial for evidence-based decision-making. Public trust in scientists can help decision-makers act based on the best available evidence, especially during crises. However, in recent years the epistemic authority of science has been challenged, causing concerns about low public trust in scientists. We interrogated these concerns with a pre-registered 68-country survey of 71,922 respondents and find that in most countries, most people trust scientists and agree that scientists should engage more in society and policymaking. We find variations between and within countries, which we explain with individual- and country-level variables, including political orientation. While there is no widespread lack of trust in scientists, we cannot discount the concern that lack of trust in scientists by even a small minority may affect considerations of scientific evidence in policymaking. These findings have implications for scientists and policymakers seeking to maintain and increase trust in scientists.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.010
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.049
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.998
Threshold uncertainty score0.052

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0100.049
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.004
Science and technology studies0.0020.002
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0000.003
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.347
Teacher spread0.326 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations74
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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