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A Case for Monte Carlo Tree Search in Adaptive Traffic Signal Control: Modifiability, Interpretability and Generalization

2023· article· en· W4391770251 on OpenAlexaff
Ilia Smirnov, Scott Sanner, Baher Abdulhai

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicTraffic control and management
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInterpretabilityGeneralizationMonte Carlo methodComputer scienceTree (set theory)SIGNAL (programming language)AlgorithmMonte Carlo tree searchArtificial intelligenceTheoretical computer scienceMathematicsStatisticsCombinatorics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Adaptive Traffic Signal Control methods based on Reinforcement Learning have been applied successfully to reach state-of-the-art results in simulation. However, most recent works in the area use model-free methods, which learn value and/or policy functions directly through environment in-teractions without a dynamics model. Model-free methods have several potential drawbacks: (1) difficulties in generalization to dynamics not seen in training, as well as difficulties in transfer to different intersection geometries; (2) low sample-efficiency, resulting in high resource requirements for training; (3) often, reliance on difficult-to-interpret function approximators such as neural networks. In this work, we demonstrate experimentally that Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) with a simple queue and platoon-propagation dynamics model can reach lower delay on a single intersection than the standard model-free Deep Q-Networks (DQN) algorithm. Moreover, we provide empirical results that illustrate that model-based receding-horizon planning can alleviate many of the drawbacks of the model-free methods listed above: better generalization characteristics; more direct and less resource-demanding transfer to different intersection geometries and phasing schemes; and simpler visualization and interpretation, aiding modification and debugging.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.005
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.029
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0050.029
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.004
Scholarly communication0.0020.005
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.235
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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