Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract. Models of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) play a central role in the interpretation of various geologic and geodetic data to understand and simulate past and future changes in ice sheets and sea level, and infer rheological properties of the deep Earth. A relatively recent advance has been the development of models that include 3D Earth structure, as opposed to 1D, spherically symmetric structure. However, a major limitation in employing 3D GIA models is their high computational expense. As such, we have developed a method using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and the Tensorflow library to emulate the influence of 3D Earth models with the goal of more affordably constraining the parameter space of these models: specifically the radial (1D) viscosity profile upon which the lateral variations are added. This study provides an initial “proof of concept” assessment of using ANNs to emulate the influence of lateral Earth structure on GIA model output. Our goal is to test whether the fast surrogate model can accurately predict the difference in these outputs (i.e., RSL and uplift rates) for the 3D case relative to the SS case. If so, the surrogate model can be used with a computationally efficient SS (Earth) GIA model to generate output that reproduces output from a 3D (Earth) GIA model. Evaluation of the surrogate model performance for deglacial RSL indicates that it is able to provide useful estimates of this field throughout the parameter space when trained on only ≈ 15 % (≈ 50) of the parameter vectors considered (330 in total). Our results indicate that the ANN:model misfits, while not negligible, are of a scale such that useful predictions of deglacial RSL changes can be made. We applied the surrogate model in a model:data comparison exercise using RSL data distributed along the North American coasts from the Canadian Arctic to the US Gulf coast. We find that the surrogate model is able to successfully reproduce the data:model misfit values such that the region of minimum misfit either overlaps the 3D GIA model results, or is within two increments in the parameter space. The surrogate model can, therefore, be used to accurately explore this aspect of the 3D Earth model parameter space. While the 3D Earth models can outperform the SS Earth models for some regional subsets of the RSL data set, the SS Earth models still produce better fits overall. In summary, this work demonstrates the utility of machine learning in 3D Earth GIA modelling and so future work to expand on this analysis is warranted.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.021 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.021 | 0.019 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.198 | 0.129 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".