How the Spread of Young Coral Can Help Save Coral Reefs
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Coral reefs around the world are getting sick (and sometimes dying) at alarming rates due to climate change. Certain coral reefs (low-risk reefs) are predicted to be less at risk of getting sick than others. We wondered whether low-risk reefs can help save other reefs. We found that this is possible—through the movement of young coral from healthy reefs to damaged or dying reefs. We found that coral reefs worldwide are connected through the spread of young coral, forming 604 reef networks. Some networks are very large, but most are very small. If only the low-risk coral reefs survive, many of these networks will be preserved, which will help the overall survival of coral reefs into the future. However, young coral from these low-risk reefs do not reach all reefs worldwide, so it is important to find and protect reefs that are good at sending young coral to rescue the rest of the world’s reefs.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.007 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.010 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".