Second-based queue length estimation with fusing MMW and low penetration rate CAV trajectory data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper combines millimeter-wave radar (MMW) data with connected autonomous vehicle (CAV) trajectory data to estimate queue length on a second-by-second basis. Firstly, queued vehicles on multiple lanes with the same traffic movement are mapped to a virtual lane. Then, the presence of CAV or human-driven vehicle (HDV) for any given queueing index is determined. A Bayesian joint probability model is subsequently established for queue length expectation, considering the existence of the queued vehicle type as a condition. The average time headway and dissipation speed distribution are derived from departure timestamps, which allows for the calculation of the prior probability ratio of queue length. Lastly, the maximum likelihood estimation (EM) algorithm is employed for iteratively estimating the CAV penetration rate. Simulation results demonstrate the method offers a compelling trade-off between precision and second-based real-time performance, while field test results further confirm the wide applicability under various traffic conditions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".