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Multiple Myeloma Treatments Fair Worse in the Real World

2024· article· en· W4392284795 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Mark L. Fuerst

Bibliographic record

VenueOncology Times · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMultiple Myeloma Research and Treatments
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMultiple myelomaMedicineInternal medicine

Abstract

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Multiple Myeloma: Multiple MyelomaOutcomes for multiple myeloma patients treated with standard regimens fall far shorter in the real world than in randomized clinical trials (RCTs), according to a new study. People treated for multiple myeloma in real-world hospital settings experienced a 44 percent higher rate of disease progression or death and a 75 percent higher rate of death than was reported in clinical trials for six of the seven common myeloma treatments. Serious adverse event (SAE) rates were comparable among clinical trial participants and real-world patients. “This is one the largest population-level studies highlighting the significant efficacy-effectiveness gap with multiple standard-of-care regimens for multiple myeloma. It underscores the importance of understanding whether RCT outcomes are generalizable to our real-world patients,” said lead author Alissa Visram, MD, MPH, from the Division of Hematology at The Ottawa Hospital Research Institute in Canada, at the 65th ASH Annual Meeting & Exposition. RCTs are the gold standard for regulatory approval and treatment guidelines and informing patients about expected outcomes. Visram and colleagues set out to find how much the RCT efficacy differs from the real-world effectiveness for multiple myeloma therapies. Many real-world patients would not have met the stringent RCT inclusion criteria, she noted. Study Details At ASH, Visram presented the results of a retrospective population-based study (Abstract 541) to compare the efficacy versus effectiveness of registration RCTs with real-world patients using seven standard-of-care regimens for multiple myeloma. These regimens included lenalidomide/dexamethasone (Rd) and bortezomib/Rd (VRd) for newly diagnosed, transplant-ineligible patients and carfilzomib/Rd (KRd), carfilzomib/dexamethasone (Kd), daratumumab/Rd (DRd), daratumumab/bortezomib/dexamethasone (DVd), and pomalidomide/dexamethasone (Pd) for relapsed/refractory patients. At a health care system in Ontario, Canada, information was received from the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences from a database capturing all health records. A total of 3,951 real-world multiple myeloma patients (1,106 patients with newly diagnosed transplant-ineligible disease and 2,845 patients with relapsed disease) treated between January 2007 to December 2020 with these standard-of-care regimens were included. Patients in the real-world cohort were older than in the RCTs, Visram noted. For relapsed regimens, there was a longer time between multiple myeloma diagnosis and the start of the regimen in the real-world versus RCTs. The data revealed a large difference in real-world versus RCT outcomes. A meta-analysis showed that, across all regimens and disease settings, the real-world patients had worse progression-free survival (PFS) (HR: 1.44) and overall survival (OS) (HR: 1.75). PFS estimates showed absolute differences reaching as high as 18.3 months for patients treated with KRd versus 26.3 months for the RCT group. OS differences for six of the seven regimens evaluated favored the RCT patients by more than 19 months. Crude estimates showed that RCT participants on Kd lived a median 37.9 months longer compared with the real-world patients. Those treated with VRd in RCTs lived at least 35.9 months longer and those on KRd in trials lived 26.7 months longer. Pd was the only regimen that performed as well as or slightly better in the real-world setting than in clinical trials. The reason for this is likely multifactorial, but Visram suggested that perhaps patients included in the Pd RCT may have had more refractory multiple myeloma, given the higher prior immunomodulatory drug exposure and longer time from diagnosis to treatment among patients compared to real-world patients in the study. With regards to safety, the percentage of patients with inpatient hospitalization during treatment in the real-world cohort and reported SAEs in RCT were comparable: VRD 57 percent versus not reported; Rd 64 percent versus not reported; Kd 57 percent versus 59 percent; KRd 53 percent versus 60 percent; DVd 36 percent versus not reported; DRd 46 percent versus 49 percent; and Pd 59 percent versus 61 percent. “Our results will better inform both clinicians and patients to allow for shared treatment decision-making,” Visram noted. The analysis also underscores the limitations of clinical trials in predicting outcomes among patient populations that are typically different from those in clinical trials in terms of demographics, health status, and care settings, such as community practices versus academic medical centers. “The criteria for clinical trial eligibility are often quite stringent, so the results are not always generalizable,” Visram said. “It's not a surprise that real-world patients don't do as well as those in clinical trials, but our study is the first to quantify the difference. It suggests we need to change our frame of reference and better contextualize what outcomes we would expect our patients to have.” Mark L. Fuerst is a contributing writer.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.388
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.370
Teacher spread0.333 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
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