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Record W4392436569 · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106060

On thin ice: The Arctic Council’s uncertain future

2024· article· en· W4392436569 on OpenAlexafffund
Carol Dyck

Bibliographic record

VenueMarine Policy · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicArctic and Russian Policy Studies
Canadian institutionsWestern University
FundersSocial Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada
KeywordsOceanographyArcticThe arcticArctic ice packPolitical scienceGeographyPhysical geographyGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Since 1996, the Arctic Council has served as a critical forum through which Arctic States have collaborated on common concerns affecting the North. The consensus-based structure of the Council, set apart from high politics, created the conditions for continued peaceful relations even as tensions flared far from the Arctic Circle. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent pause in Arctic Council activities, the future of this “high level forum” came into question. The ongoing Ukraine War threatens to unravel the goodwill of the past quarter century, potentially undercutting the Arctic Council as the preeminent channel for Arctic governance at a time when environmental and geopolitical stressors necessitate greater cooperation, not less. As a now isolated Russia seeks new partnerships with “friendly” States for Arctic missions, the threat of an Arctic divided between East and West grows. With accelerating loss of sea-ice due to climate change, opening up the Arctic to greater resource exploitation and shipping, animosity in the North will further threaten this fragile ecosystem. This paper proposes a return to the founding ethos of cooperation through science diplomacy to rebuild strained relationships and prevent further fracturing of the Arctic Council.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.016
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.100
Threshold uncertainty score0.198

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.016
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0070.007
Scholarly communication0.0090.006
Open science0.0010.004
Research integrity0.0090.009
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.035
GPT teacher head0.336
Teacher spread0.300 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations13
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractno

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